Vigorous-Tutu
0x81f1a26eedd5679635b28847ae5f09b4eb46724d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.41
Total PnL
$-5.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-0.25
- NO
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.66
$0.66
- NO
Will anyone say "New York" or "New Yorker" 30+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
8 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.53
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?$7.00Jan 19, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 4.20 released by January 31?$3.00Jan 19, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$322.59Jan 19, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$322.92Jan 19, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$2.56Jan 19, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$4.49Jan 19, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?$4.00Dec 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?$319.87Dec 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?$320.19Dec 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$320.19Dec 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$320.52Dec 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$4.13Dec 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.54Dec 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$2.00Nov 26, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$312.85Nov 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$313.17Nov 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$4.00Nov 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$317.16Nov 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$317.49Nov 26, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$317.49Nov 26, 17:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $205.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.