Knowledgeable-Fright
0x81f30694dc855bee0e8942141b93a8a5a0b21043
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$272.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
11100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- NO
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.50
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1297 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1099 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
966 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
937 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
714 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.32Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.49Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.52Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.20Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4.80Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.60Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.60Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.28Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.77Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.60Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.60Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.02Dec 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.46Dec 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$29.00Dec 11, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$38.44Dec 11, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.04Dec 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.33Dec 11, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$13.36Dec 11, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$32.06Dec 11, 11:47 UTC
- REWARD$7.96Dec 3, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $906.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 11:18 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.