Formal-Creek
0x81f4ccd493edb146f20d0ca5da7e1717a350c210
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-173.74
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 12AM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on March 1?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.97
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25?
700 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-93.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
498 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-67.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?
486 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-131.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?
453 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-92.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 1?
400 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
400 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-84.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 33°F or below on March 2?
320 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$66.02Apr 1, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$4.00Apr 1, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$11.00Apr 1, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$81.05Apr 1, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$35.13Apr 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.80Apr 1, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$36.93Apr 1, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$6.53Apr 1, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$7.55Apr 1, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.16Apr 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Apr 1, 06:56 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.17Mar 28, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$61.10Mar 27, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$2.49Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$16.20Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$27.00Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.40Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.94Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$6.97Mar 27, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 09:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".