Scrawny-Transaction
0x81f7a323f97b9d087ebf476ccbf6e3767acf4c14
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$107.24
Total PnL
$-7.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
22 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$22.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$20.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?$22.00Nov 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.00Nov 28, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?$5.00Nov 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?$6.00Nov 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?$6.00Nov 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$20.00Nov 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$20.00Nov 28, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 16?$2.00Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.10 on November 16?$3.02Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 16?$4.01Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$4.07Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?$5.09Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.10Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?$9.25Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16?$12.54Nov 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.10 on November 16?$3.00Nov 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 16?$2.00Nov 16, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 15:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".