Timely-Muffin
0x81f9ae15cb9bb308de3e2067fd10fc836f643f98
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1348 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$4.72
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$3.16
$0.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
4016 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5PM ET
1566 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-783.00
- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-18.5)
1146 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-550.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8PM ET
232 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-116.00
- HORNETS
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
68 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-33.80
- UNDER
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5
14 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- UNDER
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5
11 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- OVER
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5$3.18Jun 4, 07:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5$2.35Jun 3, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5$6.00Jun 3, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5$3.82Jun 2, 08:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5$1.78Jun 1, 09:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5$2.05May 30, 08:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5$0.03May 29, 10:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5$1.38May 28, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5$0.13May 26, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5$2.18May 26, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Cavaliers (-5.5)$7.80May 26, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".