Bare-Piano
0x820e36a499f2b3071317109133d374fcf818285a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-256.29
Realised
$23.94
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 20?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 10?
993 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on January 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?
450 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
342 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
262 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.69Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.05Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.57Mar 15, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$1.01Mar 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$0.39Mar 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$0.73Mar 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$0.84Mar 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.99Mar 14, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.20Mar 14, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$0.03Mar 14, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$0.54Mar 14, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 16?$1.00Mar 14, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.