Brave-Incandescence
0x821565d6881a79b458567d9421c256f4b3578216
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-219.69
Realised
$7.96
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Trump trade deal in April?
1003 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- NO
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
701 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
53 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?
45 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?
35 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4PM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?
30 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?$10.00Jan 3, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?$4.08Dec 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Australia" while addressing the nation on December 17?$5.60Dec 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "JD" or "Vance" while addressing the nation on December 17?$5.00Dec 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$1.14Dec 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.60Dec 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.05Dec 10, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$1.40Dec 10, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?$3.40Dec 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of December?$3.40Dec 10, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Dec 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.00Dec 10, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?$26.24Dec 10, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$0.00Nov 20, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$3.49Nov 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?$1.43Nov 19, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$1.43Nov 19, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.37Nov 19, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of November?$8.54Nov 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (November 17 – 23)$5.10Nov 18, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".