Third-Nod
0x8217f82f6b9505cc3732d800f1a03eb5d953bf2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-157.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of January?
3034 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?
1525 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of January?
1294 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
513 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$0.31Jan 31, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$4.24Jan 31, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$7.74Jan 31, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$0.64Jan 31, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Jan 31, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?$2.50Jan 31, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$25.00Jan 31, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Jan 31, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Jan 31, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Jan 31, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$6.63Jan 31, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$5.00Jan 31, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 31, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$15.00Jan 31, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 31, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.45Jan 31, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$23.49Jan 31, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?$10.00Jan 30, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$5.00Jan 30, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$0.50Jan 30, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.