Suspicious-Filter
0x8218731e48cbb1e0e162d7749287a10b867a8374
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$8.17
Total PnL
$-180.59
Realised
$-8.04
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$3.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Death Stranding 2: On the Beach' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
920 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 2?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?$2.75Feb 28, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.48Feb 26, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.40Feb 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$2.00Feb 26, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.60Feb 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.80Feb 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.80Feb 15, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.26Feb 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.34Feb 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.20Feb 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$0.80Feb 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.75Feb 13, 10:01 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Feb 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.34Feb 10, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.05Feb 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.70Feb 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$0.18Feb 10, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Feb 10, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.75Feb 10, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$1.50Feb 10, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".