Apprehensive-Thorn
0x821f7288f5043da0cafc084c86e0f5ca435c3084
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-964.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
14626 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$943.41
$-56.58
- YES
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
580 shares @ 51.6¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$342.14
$43.14
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
2175 shares @ 23.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$337.10
$-162.89
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
640 shares @ 54.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$144.00
$-206.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.21
$5.21
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
814 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.62
$-6.38
- YES
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
1138 shares @ 26.4¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.02
$-208.98
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.00
$-22.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
1402 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
469 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$96.00May 26, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $205.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.