Distorted-Haven
0x822e8bcb0c2e14b874eb036d0eef693b41c11681
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$2.46
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.90 March 30-April 5?$1.03Apr 2, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.90 March 30-April 5?$1.43Mar 31, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$1.28Mar 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?$1.59Mar 2, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$1.65Mar 2, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?$1.59Feb 24, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$1.65Feb 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$1.26Feb 21, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.17Feb 21, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.18Feb 21, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.46Feb 21, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$3.09Feb 21, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$1.17Dec 31, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.43Dec 31, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.18Dec 31, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.65Dec 30, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Chiefs (-3.5)$0.00Dec 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chiefs (-3.5)$1.08Dec 5, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Spurs$2.86Dec 5, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Spurs$1.89Dec 2, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.