Intent-Bride
0x8234aab6d69ecbda52f8abecc7c06e93ba6589bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
209 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
185 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 3?
165 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 3?
144 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Insurrection Act" on Truth Social this week?
141 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 3?
120 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on March 5?
117 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 23?
112 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 23?
107 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$191.60Jul 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$1.59Jul 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 17?$188.86Jul 16, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 28?$188.88May 28, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 28?$2.20May 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 28?$185.55May 27, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 23?$1.26May 22, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$19.45May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$1.80May 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?$2.88May 15, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$22.42May 13, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of April 6 2026?$208.08May 7, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 31?$0.00Apr 28, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 4?$0.00Apr 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down on April 15?$21.07Apr 15, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?$2.14Apr 13, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of April 6 2026?$205.58Apr 10, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill $PENGUIN reach $400M in Q1?$231.09Apr 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$17.56Mar 31, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $PENGUIN reach $400M in Q1?$229.70Mar 31, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $45.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.