Thorny-Latency
0x823935753f9ba2c923d6e3d086f9a8bb1c5b466c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$194.13
Win rate
77%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Uzbekistan?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
500 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-192.47
- ALGERIA
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
455 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-67.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
420 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-157.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
377 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-192.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
374 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-190.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
320 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-41.07
Recent activity
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$20.00Jul 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.49Jul 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$9.55Jul 21, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.95Jul 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$10.00Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$25.00Jul 21, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.64Jul 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$8.02Jul 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$6.66Jul 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$6.17Jul 21, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.34Jul 21, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.27Jul 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.03Jul 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.69Jul 21, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.99Jul 21, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.00Jul 19, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.90Jul 19, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.50Jul 19, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$3.50Jul 19, 12:19 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Jul 19, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
30 closed markets, 77% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.