Misty-Warrant
0x823d9450dfa3a12a99ea4ecc0a1080dc775422eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$299.93
Total PnL
$-538.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.62
$13.57
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$87.99
$1.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 31.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$30.25
$14.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?
30 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.00
$2.40
- NO
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
28 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.32
$-0.56
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 33.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.40
$-14.60
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.6¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$2.49
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
120 shares @ 59.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.80
$-69.28
- NO
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.91
$-0.08
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
20 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.07
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?$20.24Jun 8, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?$7.38Jun 8, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$9.00Jun 8, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$18.00Jun 8, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$32.00Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$1.54Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$3.78Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$3.78Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$4.01Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$3.78Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$3.78Jun 8, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$4.60Jun 8, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$13.80Jun 8, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$1.09Jun 8, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$15.50Jun 8, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.08Jun 8, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.75Jun 5, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24Jun 5, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$20.05Jun 5, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$20.47Jun 3, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.