Embellished-Theory
0x8240f11837c47a7d5cd146a9af518fe10efb7ae0
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-9.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$10.00
$9.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Another team win the UEFA Europa League?
10 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.29
- NUGGETS
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?
10 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Celtics beat the Knicks 4-3$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Capitals be Eastern Conference champions?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-3$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Capitals$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win on 2025-05-16?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Capitals$5.00May 15, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?$5.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$5.00May 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-05-16?$5.00May 15, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$5.00May 15, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Timberwolves beat the Warriors 4-2?$0.00May 15, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Oilers (To Advance)$0.00May 15, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?$0.00May 15, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.00May 15, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Warriors beat the Timberwolves 4-3?$0.00May 15, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $7.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".