Hard-Affair
0x824ab7765795e04ad4c9b78b3d543aafd56e3100
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-453.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
21000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
12645 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-28.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
11300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
7500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" this week? (February 8)
7372 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
7216 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
6445 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$76.00Feb 9, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$20.00Feb 8, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$10.00Feb 8, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 8, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$20.00Feb 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$20.00Feb 8, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?$128.49Feb 6, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 6, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 6, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$97.58Feb 6, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$15.00Feb 5, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$15.00Feb 5, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$30.00Feb 5, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$40.00Feb 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$10.00Feb 5, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$20.00Feb 5, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$20.00Feb 5, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$3.00Feb 5, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$21.00Feb 5, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $24.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.