Naive-Transport
0x82557dc0f68fa8463364eb6523539f1c1e8f56b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$19.97
Total PnL
$-15.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$11.09
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 24?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.10
$-0.30
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 22?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.72
$-0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on May 11?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 20?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 11?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?
6 shares @ 82.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?
5 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 11?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 24?$7.63May 22, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?$2.94May 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?$2.95May 22, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?$2.90May 22, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 24?$2.86May 22, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 18?$5.00May 21, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 20?$5.00May 21, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 18?$5.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?$5.00May 20, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 22?$6.32May 20, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 22?$0.30May 20, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 22?$0.60May 20, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.57May 20, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.04May 20, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?$3.17May 20, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?$3.08May 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 22?$5.05May 20, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 22?$10.15May 20, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$0.85May 20, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?$9.02May 20, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".