Monstrous-Suit
0x825c14383c25ab21fb32dd60b29b7c721ccd3fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-543.85
Realised
$152.00
Win rate
97%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9PM ET
1530 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or higher on November 27?
1375 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6AM ET
1176 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7AM ET
1176 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9AM ET
1176 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9PM ET
1174 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 16?
1162 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8AM ET
1140 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8PM ET
1132 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.05Apr 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.10Apr 28, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.10Apr 23, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.10Apr 23, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.01Apr 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.05Apr 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.01Apr 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.03Apr 23, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.10Apr 23, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.10Apr 23, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.10Apr 23, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.10Apr 23, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$0.20Apr 23, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.02Apr 23, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.09Apr 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.08Apr 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.01Apr 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.05Apr 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.07Apr 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.20Apr 22, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
97% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 20/100.
33 closed markets, 97% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.