Astonishing-Loan
0x82643879dc8a31e0d5412f02fcda1508dbb9ab15
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.08
Total PnL
$-52.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
41 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.08
$-11.59
- YES
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
518 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
138 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-11.75
- YES
Will Texas be the closest state?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Maine's 2nd congressional district?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$12.00May 26, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$11.76May 26, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0.15Mar 13, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nebraska's 1st congressional district?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEM$300m in $WLFI sold before election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMSenate control after 2024 election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMConservatives win majority in Ontario election?$0.00Mar 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Feb 19, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Feb 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Ontario election?$1.00Feb 19, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Feb 19, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.50Feb 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Ontario election?$3.00Feb 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.00Feb 10, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".