Prestigious-Windchime
0x826b91a02114b959c81bd2477f16b0a7e82d4ac7
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-2.3K
Win rate
61%
172 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
1300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1287 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10PM ET
1205 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5AM ET
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
1050 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1AM ET
1025 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.00Jun 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$2.13Jun 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.02Jun 10, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.01Jun 10, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.01Jun 10, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.96Jun 10, 21:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Jun 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Jun 9, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Jun 9, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Jun 9, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.93Jun 9, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.05Jun 9, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.02Jun 9, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Jun 9, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.65Jun 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.05Jun 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.02Jun 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.20Jun 9, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.08Jun 9, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 172 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
172 closed markets, 61% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 172 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.