Scrawny-Ephyra
0x826f100556715560b96d7139ac8a71930fba6e3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$121.86
Total PnL
$4.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
85 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$85.50
$1.20
- FALCONS
Rams vs. Falcons
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$10.00
$7.60
- YES
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?
9 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$8.51
$5.11
- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Călin Georgescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$4.81
$0.01
- NO
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Andy Jassy be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.51
$0.01
- YES
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-20?
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.27
- NO
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Falcons$2.40Dec 29, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$84.30Nov 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ceará SC win on 2025-11-20?$3.27Nov 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?$3.40Nov 20, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$2.53Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$3.23Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.91Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$4.80Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$5.02Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$5.06Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?$5.90Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill ALP win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?$6.51Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$8.53Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$13.31Nov 20, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$5.00Oct 6, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$13.20Oct 6, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mary Lou McDonald win the Irish Presidential Election?$5.70Sep 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $52m?$8.50Sep 5, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$2.50Aug 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ALP win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?$6.50Aug 15, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $9.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.