Serene-Advent
0x8274da3fbc2a24a0ee9a05c0b36c5d6f5f21c499
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$0.42
Total PnL
$-311.51
Realised
$38.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2024 F1 season?
6924 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-61.99
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 F1 season?
1001 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
505 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2024 F1 season?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
202 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Vermeersch win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?$1.00Apr 5, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tadej Pogacar win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?$5.00Apr 5, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Mar 8, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 8, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$1.00Dec 6, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$1.00Nov 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$2.00Nov 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$1.00Nov 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$1.00Nov 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?$1.00Oct 26, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?$1.00Oct 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?$1.00Oct 25, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?$1.00Oct 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?$1.00Oct 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?$1.00Oct 25, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$4.00Oct 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$2.00Oct 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$3.00Oct 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$10.00Oct 16, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?$3.92Oct 6, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".