Hopeful-Ability
0x82753216a94e49d076356df3fbbc09899583d00e
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-195.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
938 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
625 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 4.0-5.0%?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?
168 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 0%-1.0%?
143 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.73Nov 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$0.19Nov 6, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$1.54Nov 6, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$13.27Nov 6, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%? $6.41Nov 6, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$6.86Nov 6, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$10.00Nov 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 4.0-5.0%? $10.00Nov 5, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%? $10.00Nov 5, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$10.00Nov 5, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$75.00Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 4-5%?$75.00Nov 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 2.0%-3.0%? $10.79Nov 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 0%-1.0%? $25.00Nov 5, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $18.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".