Green-Nondisclosure
0x8275652ed253c067136d8ead6b9ede4d9f70ef90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-996.39
Realised
$3.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
9762 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-154.99
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
378 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-111.33
- YES
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
370 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
338 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
315 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- G2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)
286 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
260 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
206 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- FALCONS
Seahawks vs. Falcons
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?
151 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$38.64Feb 2, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$40.00Jan 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$21.10Jan 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$30.48Jan 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$30.00Jan 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$20.84Jan 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$26.44Jan 25, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$23.00Jan 7, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$15.00Jan 7, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 7, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$20.00Jan 7, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?$30.00Jan 6, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$10.00Jan 6, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?$20.46Jan 6, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$30.00Jan 6, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$22.63Jan 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$45.60Dec 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$50.00Dec 26, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $54.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.