Expensive-Scorpion
0x82861ef705ac94f85eb6e5962c1336114388c5b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.79
Total PnL
$-0.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- BOISE STATE
Boise State vs. Air Force
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Raptors
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBoise State vs. Air Force$1.00Sep 21, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?$1.00Sep 21, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 21, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.85Sep 21, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 22, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Raptors$1.00Jan 22, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?$0.00Jan 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?$0.00Jan 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?$1.05Jan 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?$2.94Jan 22, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?$1.00Jan 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?$1.00Jan 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shou Chew attend presidential inauguration?$1.00Jan 18, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$3.00Jan 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?$2.00Jan 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?$7.00Jan 18, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marija Selak Raspudić be the next President of Croatia?$0.00Jan 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$4.50Jan 9, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 21, 01:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".