Simplistic-Donation
0x8286eb202a7d2c56157f0b7ecf10a82104e15af4
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 26?
61535 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-399.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3PM ET
938 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 10AM ET
689 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4PM ET
485 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-208.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10AM ET
469 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on August 29?
460 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-135.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11AM ET
287 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown by October 1?$943.72Oct 1, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$692.00Sep 27, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?$84.56Sep 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$95.28Sep 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$86.92Sep 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$68.95Sep 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$71.02Sep 27, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$161.01Sep 27, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 26, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$123.46Sep 25, 20:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 25, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 24, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 23, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 22, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 21, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 20, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 19, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Sep 18, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $256.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".