Bad-Carabao
0x828aa5ec2ff94fb32020e18b21c7eebbd9ec7e18
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-460.91
Realised
$9.24
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?
2540 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-114.17
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
1915 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-189.77
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?
882 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-34.92
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?
327 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-86.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET
110 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.75
- NO
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2AM ET
15 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6PM ET
12 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?
11 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Mike McCoy be fired by February 28?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET$1.75Feb 4, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9AM ET$1.96Jan 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9AM ET$1.61Jan 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12AM ET$1.28Jan 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$1.34Jan 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$4.16Jan 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12AM ET$1.00Jan 14, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12AM ET$2.17Jan 13, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11PM ET$1.32Jan 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12AM ET$2.00Jan 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11PM ET$1.00Jan 13, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2AM ET$1.30Jan 11, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3AM ET$1.09Jan 11, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3AM ET$1.00Jan 11, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 23:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.