Fat-Replication
0x828f1bde726c3ab435180c294d3ba442e21bd5c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-388.59
Realised
$-71.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
164 shares @ 95.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-156.84
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Thunder
65 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.52
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?
39 shares @ 63.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
27 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.74
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
21 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$157.33Apr 11, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$157.45Apr 11, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$154.98Apr 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$155.09Apr 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$153.75Apr 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$153.84Apr 11, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$153.80Apr 11, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$153.92Apr 11, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$152.59Apr 11, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$152.70Apr 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$148.78Apr 11, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$148.89Apr 11, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$146.96Apr 11, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$120.77Apr 11, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$120.86Apr 11, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$147.24Apr 10, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$146.47Apr 10, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$146.58Apr 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$146.69Apr 6, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$146.80Apr 6, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $129.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.