0x828f41ebeb2fd94b7fba0a0c26c70f5c7b50ef53
0x828f41ebeb2fd94b7fba0a0c26c70f5c7b50ef53
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$107.08
Total PnL
$2.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 58.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$59.52
$8.52
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 41.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.48
$-8.52
- YES
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-07-20?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.08
$2.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-07-20?$3.08Jul 20, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 20, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 3.5$3.02Jul 20, 17:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 3.5$2.16Jul 13, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$0.00Jul 13, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$2.14Jul 13, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 3.5$1.45Jul 11, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$0.00Jul 10, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$0.00Jul 10, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.