Clear-Cut-Message
0x82963e0746cdcbb5c73aebf79251bc54c383e9cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$45.52
Total PnL
$-351.22
Realised
$-2.67
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
543 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.98
$-4.42
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.82
$-3.18
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
289 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.72
$-4.10
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
1850 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-62.71
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1592 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-35.13
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 67m and 73m?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
763 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-47.13
- NO
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?
573 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-47.51
- YES
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
405 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-22.94
- YES
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?
311 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$4.96Jun 11, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.26Jun 11, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants$11.63Jun 9, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$10.20Jun 9, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$4.78Jun 8, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays$5.07Jun 8, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians$5.07Jun 8, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$5.08Jun 8, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants$5.09Jun 8, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$10.00Jun 8, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$8.30Jun 8, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$18.20Jun 8, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.86Jun 8, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?$5.00Jun 8, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?$2.62Jun 8, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$262.29Jun 8, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?$9.49Jun 8, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.60Jun 8, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$236.71Jun 8, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6.70Jun 6, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 23:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.