Second-Manacle
0x82997f6a9429f3c8f83f9f78a061bfa3b65851df
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.90
Total PnL
$-15.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.89
$0.01
- NO
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 25?
55 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
- NATIONALS
Nationals vs. Mets
21 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- CARDINALS
Blue Jays vs. Cardinals
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$5.00Dec 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO in 2025?$10.88Dec 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 25?$0.06Dec 25, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue vs. Notre Dame$21.00Dec 25, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPurdue vs. Notre Dame$5.63Sep 20, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYPurdue vs. Notre Dame$14.11Sep 20, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMDolphins vs. Bears $7.50Sep 20, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMMarlins vs. Braves$11.99Sep 20, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Braves$4.99Aug 10, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Braves$1.49Aug 10, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Bears $8.70Aug 10, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Timberwolves$13.33Aug 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Timberwolves$10.00Jul 16, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMDodgers vs. Padres$15.38Jul 16, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMMarlins vs. Pirates$27.27Jul 16, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Padres$8.00Jun 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Cardinals$6.00Jun 10, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNationals vs. Mets$9.00Jun 10, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Pirates$12.00Jun 10, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. Mets$0.00Jun 10, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".