Outlandish-Casement
0x829bad843eb3a75f38b3d3fe6c155e6be69d2a19
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-272.28
Win rate
21%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
810 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-81.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
810 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-81.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
510 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-54.45
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
510 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-54.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
360 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-57.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
340 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-36.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
340 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-36.29
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
199 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-37.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
191 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.85
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
167 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-17.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00May 5, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.00May 5, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00May 5, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00May 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00May 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.68May 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.90May 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$7.00May 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$7.00May 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$16.99May 5, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.77Apr 14, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.82Apr 14, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.07Apr 14, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.67Apr 14, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.48Apr 14, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.35Apr 14, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.46Apr 14, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.30Apr 14, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.46Apr 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.84Apr 14, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.