Acclaimed-Guerrilla
0x82a001c01562bd8fddcdb576f06e7f72303336b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$22.54
Total PnL
$-0.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.81
$0.18
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.78
$0.02
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.58
$0.02
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.57
$0.04
- NO
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.55
$0.03
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
2 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.53
$0.08
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.50
$0.02
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.48Dec 28, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.53Dec 28, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.25Dec 28, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.56Dec 28, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.45Dec 28, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.63Dec 28, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.27Dec 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.37Dec 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.47Dec 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.62Dec 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.52Dec 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.37Dec 28, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.54Dec 28, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.23Dec 28, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.17Dec 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England increases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.22Dec 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.24Dec 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.28Dec 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.35Dec 28, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.35Dec 28, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".