Sore-Mall
0x82a62f600fa7d60f184276a72ebb7384a31e6e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$31.81
Total PnL
$-0.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?
7 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?
7 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.17
$0.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in July 2026?$7.01Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?$7.01Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in July 2026?$7.01Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?$5.01Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?$5.01Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$6.97Jun 7, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$4.8KJun 7, 10:27 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$4.8KMay 31, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.8KMay 31, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.05May 31, 15:01 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.8KMay 31, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$2.07May 31, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.19Feb 15, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$2.60Feb 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Feb 11, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?$0.00Feb 11, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Through the roof" this week? (September 8-14)$0.00Dec 5, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$0.00Dec 5, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?$10.00Dec 5, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $17.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.