Shallow-Pond
0x82b06690716f92b0fa1d164fd845b3310cc78aac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.92
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
70 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump or Melania say "Bestseller" during film screening?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump or Melania say "Incredible job" or "Fantastic job" during film screening?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 26, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.50Mar 25, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.00Mar 20, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.07Mar 20, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.93Mar 20, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$0.00Mar 20, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$2.01Mar 19, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.08Mar 18, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 22, 5AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.10Mar 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.90Mar 17, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.60Mar 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.03Mar 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.30Mar 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.27Mar 16, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$0.21Mar 9, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$2.97Mar 9, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 05:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".