Courteous-Reluctance
0x82b6f931bd42008e332a8c50533cc65798c69fb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-128.90
Realised
$-2.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
625 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?
247 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?
162 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
118 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
8 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$72.44Feb 28, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$90.00Feb 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$84.93Feb 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$90.00Feb 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$23.69Feb 28, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.60Feb 28, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$150.00Feb 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?$6.62Jan 21, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?$10.00Jan 21, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?$75.00Jan 20, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 16-22?$20.00Sep 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$37.10Sep 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 16, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $43.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 16, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.