Complicated-Fate
0x82b7c03c65364ff1ea75bdc02d745c5e7eb917cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 22?
160 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?
96 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-21.12
- MOTOR CESKE BUDEJOVICE
CEHL: Motor Ceske Budejovice vs. Kometa
75 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-25?
71 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 9?
63 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-35.28
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on February 26?
43 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-27.09
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
35 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.25
- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 6?
21 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$20.94Apr 1, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.64Mar 20, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.64Mar 20, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?$70.00Mar 15, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$28.00Mar 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?$38.50Mar 14, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$24.92Mar 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$2.20Mar 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$1.98Mar 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$4.18Mar 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$1.54Mar 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$3.08Mar 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$8.14Mar 12, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCEHL: Motor Ceske Budejovice vs. Kometa$42.00Mar 12, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?$48.00Mar 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 11?$42.72Mar 11, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?$19.25Mar 10, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?$63.00Mar 9, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 9?$35.28Mar 9, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?$36.54Mar 8, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".