Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-402.60

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
200 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026
$0.00
$-138.00
NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-50.00
NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-51.00
NO
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-40.00
NO
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00
UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 1?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
NO
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
YES
Will Shayne say "Mention" during 60 Minutes?
30 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025
$0.00
$-10.80
YES
Will Shayne say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during 60 Minutes?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$63.00Mar 19, 19:43 UTC
TRADESELLWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$147.85Mar 19, 19:43 UTC
REDEEMWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$149.99Mar 19, 16:35 UTC
TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$21.50Jan 30, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$21.69Jan 30, 15:04 UTC
TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$22.49Jan 30, 14:51 UTC
TRADEBUYWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$0.82Jan 30, 14:49 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$10.43Jan 28, 11:39 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$25.30Jan 28, 08:27 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$0.67Jan 27, 17:43 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$3.60Jan 27, 17:27 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.66Jan 23, 14:38 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$1.60Jan 18, 12:59 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$28.74Jan 18, 12:58 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$8.56Jan 18, 12:58 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$7.94Jan 17, 21:58 UTC
REWARD$1.54Jan 7, 00:01 UTC
TRADESELLWill Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$40.17Jan 6, 16:26 UTC
TRADESELLWill Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$37.55Jan 6, 16:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$10.43Jan 5, 14:50 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry85 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 37
Avg trade size: $50.19
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 28, 17:50 UTC
Last active: Mar 19, 19:43 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:41:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data