Usable-Incidence
0x82c3f1181c01bbdcd2ce8310c10418aaeacf4672
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$27.04
Total PnL
$-289.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
14 shares @ 57.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.88
$5.88
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$13.16
$-1.84
- YES
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
122 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2025-09-18?
51 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?
32 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
28 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will CA Mineiro vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?
25 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-21?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.00Dec 18, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?$13.16Dec 18, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$21.05Dec 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$9.00Dec 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?$5.00Nov 29, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?$7.70Nov 27, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Nov 27, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Nov 27, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$8.00Nov 27, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?$11.00Nov 27, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$15.00Nov 27, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Lanús vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?$5.00Nov 27, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona vs. Alaves end in a draw?$3.00Nov 23, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?$5.00Nov 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-23?$5.00Nov 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Nov 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Nov 9, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?$5.00Nov 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-11-09?$5.00Nov 9, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Lanús win on 2025-10-30?$15.00Nov 9, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".