Sinful-Cost
0x82c8fa55517e81c4abf739b19feb8f4470ec832a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.60
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
639 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.60
$-73.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
72879 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-318.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
21408 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-330.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
3404 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1849 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
80 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
30 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
29 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Apr 12, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$5.98Apr 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.56Apr 12, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$112.46Apr 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$75.00Jan 19, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4PM ET$25.00Jan 8, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4PM ET$15.05Jan 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4PM ET$2.95Jan 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4PM ET$6.00Jan 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$6.00Jan 5, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.56Jan 1, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$6.64Jan 1, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Jan 1, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$7.20Jan 1, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$26.00Jan 1, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$29.99Jan 1, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$30.00Jan 1, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$14.57Jan 1, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$6.73Jan 1, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$7.20Jan 1, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $14.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 17:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.