Anguished-Hardboard
0x82ca78b06eded1d4b5aeeca3c69cfc1623cb2ffc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-241.38
Realised
$-0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
3363 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
431 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
305 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
254 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
232 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
152 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$7.00Mar 3, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$6.69Mar 3, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$8.00Mar 3, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?$8.31Mar 3, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$5.00Mar 3, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$20.00Mar 3, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$26.52Mar 3, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$6.00Mar 3, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$30.00Mar 3, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$3.00Mar 3, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$32.18Mar 3, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Mar 3, 02:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.