Dull-Commitment
0x82cd027506124dfb3cd3dc56da3c0e8c09a500ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$87.34
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
39 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$32.57
$2.57
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.60
$-4.40
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
27 shares @ 72.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.65
$2.65
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.59
$-16.41
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.69
$-8.31
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.25
$-13.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
829 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-145.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
628 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-273.43
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
535 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
379 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$4.99Jun 13, 03:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.10Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.81Jun 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Jun 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.00Jun 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.19Jun 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4.95Jun 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.04Jun 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.32Jun 12, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$21.55Jun 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.00Jun 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$4.90Jun 12, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.09Jun 12, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$7.68Jun 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$4.28Jun 12, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$6.70Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.45Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$7.15Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.19Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.60Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.