Huge-Drawbridge
0x82d2e1afda55edb6fcbd1dea02e140be6b3e939b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$36.61
Total PnL
$-40.15
Realised
$5.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
39 shares @ 81.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.61
$5.01
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?
12 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "World Trade Center" this week? (September 8-14)
12 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?
11 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
ANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "God" 10+ times during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$31.60Jan 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$12.37Jan 19, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMVon der Leyen out in 2025?$0.00Jan 19, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia redistricting referendum passes?$0.00Jan 19, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMVon der Leyen out in 2025?$7.61Jan 19, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia redistricting referendum passes?$11.63Jan 19, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$11.65Oct 26, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$11.24Oct 26, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (September 1 - 7)$0.00Sep 8, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fraud" this week? (September 1 - 7)$0.00Sep 8, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Trade Center" this week? (September 8-14)$4.00Sep 8, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 10+ times during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?$4.00Sep 8, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Radical Left" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?$4.00Sep 8, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (September 1 - 7)$4.98Sep 8, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fraud" this week? (September 1 - 7)$6.67Sep 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYVon der Leyen out in 2025?$7.00Sep 6, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$10.00Sep 4, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?$5.00Sep 4, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fraud" this week? (September 1 - 7)$5.00Sep 4, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?$3.45Sep 4, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".