Ugly-Exclamation
0x82d2e24b68702b73b7007bea54167a28978fc411
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$199.07
Total PnL
$-735.63
Realised
$31.60
Win rate
76%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$100.79
$0.79
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
115 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$98.28
$-1.72
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
10011 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-26.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
2300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
909 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
893 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
854 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
615 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$205.63Jun 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$183.00May 29, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$96.64May 29, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 27, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 27, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.34May 27, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$2.79May 27, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.71May 27, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.31May 27, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$52.02May 27, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$54.24May 27, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 27, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$192.83May 27, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$50.00May 26, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$50.84May 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$215.00May 25, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$214.81May 25, 18:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $55.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".