Trifling-Brisket
0x82d637e46063fb47efb805a9b746def733e3ce56
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.73
Total PnL
$-495.55
Realised
$-9.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.40
$-19.60
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
572 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
TikTok on App Store again before February?
378 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
193 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
72 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$5.00Mar 1, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$32.80Mar 1, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Feb 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 15, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$100.00Jan 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$56.89Jan 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$126.67Jan 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$104.47Jan 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 10, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 10, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 10, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok on App Store again before February?$20.00Jan 24, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok on App Store again before February?$15.00Jan 24, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?$88.92Jan 24, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?$80.96Jan 19, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$100.00Jan 10, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $55.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 04:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.