Frosty-Forearm
0x82dc1984349749df684ae98c99b7508e253ba079
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 19?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 13?
480 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on December 2?
252 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $9.00?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Instagram be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?
162 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
101 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$84.08May 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$84.00May 26, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$84.08May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$84.01May 24, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$84.08May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$84.00May 22, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$83.08May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$83.01May 21, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$1.00May 21, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$83.08May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$83.00May 15, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$84.08May 15, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?$1.00May 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$84.00May 6, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$2.25May 6, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 6, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$86.09May 6, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 4, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$86.00May 3, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.78May 3, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $66.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".