0x82dca9a04c816139faedbdbecef2b70cd80803c8
0x82dca9a04c816139faedbdbecef2b70cd80803c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-334.68
Realised
$-0.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
2540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.08
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
750 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
512 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
289 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.82
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$6.71Mar 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$7.15Mar 27, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$11.35Mar 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Heat$1.00Feb 28, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$1.00Feb 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.11Feb 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.40Feb 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$10.68Feb 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$1.00Feb 28, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.70Feb 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$1.00Feb 28, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Bucks$13.70Feb 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Bucks$10.00Feb 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.58Feb 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.89Feb 12, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.69Feb 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$2.97Feb 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$1.00Feb 7, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 09:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.