Downright-Auction
0x82dcdea4ef13f1bb75292d2ee9aa6b08ffe7cb75
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$92.04
Total PnL
$-1.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
92 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.04
$0.55
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?
11 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$91.49Mar 21, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?$1.00Feb 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $31.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.