Great-Mayonnaise
0x82e50e68689c2c64b7f1ea9936dbedc805d7c440
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$15.28
Total PnL
$0.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140K in July?$15.05Jul 23, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?$15.05Jul 23, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75k in May?$15.03May 28, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $250 in April?$15.03May 28, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $250 in April?$14.92Apr 12, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by March 31?$14.92Apr 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31?$14.88Mar 23, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.12Mar 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.14Mar 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.17Mar 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$0.20Mar 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden pardon Trump?$1.01Mar 23, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $2500 by Thursday?$13.23Mar 23, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $2500 by Thursday?$13.22Feb 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden pardon Trump?$1.00Jan 5, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant in 2024?$0.10Jan 5, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?$12.37Jan 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$0.18Dec 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.16Dec 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$0.14Dec 25, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $150.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.