0x82f1bccbdf9562bc80eecba30cd73b49a15b0c90
0x82f1bccbdf9562bc80eecba30cd73b49a15b0c90
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-76.73
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Microsoft have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?
423 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TUNDRA ESPORTS
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esports
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?
95 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?
81 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?
81 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.